Wednesday, January 2, 2008

For What It's Worth: New Year Could be a Nightmare for BCS

A funny thing happened along the way to the BCS National Championship Game. First, USC throttled Big Ten runner up Illinois. The game wasn't even close. Then, Georgia whipped the only undefeated football team in the Bowl Championship Subdivision.

Tonight, a hungry Oklahoma team is playing a West Virginia team in transition. Teams with interim head coaches haven't done very well in bowls this year. I think West Virginia is a great team, but the transition is more of a distraction then anyone wants to admit. Arkansas got beat pretty good during its bowl game.

So, here is the worst case scenario for the BCS Big Wigs. Oklahoma routs West Virginia tonight in the Fiesta Bowl. Then, LSU beat Ohio State for the National Title, but it turns out to be one of their trademark nail-biters. Then we would be left with four 2 loss teams with an understandable legitimate claim to the National Title. The BCS Champion would be LSU, but who would be the AP National Champ? Oklahoma beat West Virginia soundly, Georgia thumps Hawaii, and USC routs Illinois. All three teams have two losses, same as LSU, and all three won their bowl games handily.

O.K. Does anyone really know who the best team in the country really is this year? In this Nightmare Scenario there are four pretty good teams with two losses. And, Georgia didn't even make it to the SEC Title Game. All of this depends on, of course, Oklahoma beating West Virginia pretty good tonight and LSU winning the title Monday in unconvincing fashion.

Now, if Ohio State wins National Title Game on Monday night, well, then this Nightmare Scenario goes away. So, secretly, some may be pulling for the Buckeyes to win the title and keep this thing from being as "clear as mud." If the Buckeyes win, they have only one loss compared to the others' two (LSU would have 3), and Hawaii lost in their only shot to convince people they were top 5 (maybe top 10) worthy.

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